Day 10Market structure

Market structure

Day 10 of 26 · 8 min read · By DT Terminal

Price moves in swings. Trend is how each swing compares with the one before, a break of structure confirms the trend, and a market structure shift is the first sign it has turned.

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Chapter 1 of 7

Swing highs and lows

Price moves in swings. A swing high is a peak with lower prices on both sides. A swing low is a dip with higher prices on both sides. Trend is how the swings compare with the ones before.

Each swing gets a two-letter label: higher or lower than the last swing of its kind, then high or low.

LabelMeansSeen in
HHHigher high: the peak is above the last peakUptrend
HLHigher low: the dip stayed above the last dipUptrend
LHLower high: the peak failed below the last peakDowntrend
LLLower low: the dip went below the last dipDowntrend

A swing is only a swing once price has moved away from it. Until then, the latest high or low can still be extended.

Chapter 3 of 7

Break of structure and the shift

In a healthy trend, each new high breaks the one before. That is a break of structure (BOS): a break with the trend. In a downtrend, each new low is the BOS.

A market structure shift (MSS) is a break against the trend. In an uptrend the key level is the last higher low, the low that launched the latest high. A candle closing below it is often the first sign of a reversal.

Bearish MSSuptrend turns downReplay in the app
UPTRENDDOWNTRENDBOSBOSMSSLHHLHHlast HLHHLLH

Flipped, in a downtrend the key level is the last lower high. A close above it is often the first sign that sellers have lost control.

Bullish MSSmirroredReplay in the app
DOWNTRENDUPTRENDBOSBOSMSSHLLHLLlast LHLLHHL
DT Terminal ChartsEURUSD · H1BOS, then MSS
Sample candles, not a record of a real day. The gold line is the high the BOS broke; the red line is the last higher low the MSS closed below.
Change of character, and reading the chart

When a candle closes below the last higher low, buyers have failed to defend it, and the chart is no longer making higher lows. Many traders call the same break a change of character (CHoCH); some keep MSS for a CHoCH that comes with a strong, fast move, so check which meaning a source uses.

The chart is an illustrative EURUSD H1 sample. On the way up, a candle closes above the high at 1.09082, a BOS that confirms the uptrend. The pullback after it holds at 1.08663, the last higher low, and price makes one more high at 1.09344. Then a candle body closes below the last higher low, at the marker labelled MSS, and the lower high and lower low that follow confirm the turn.

Chapter 4 of 7

The rules

The whole idea in one table. Read the bearish column for an uptrend that may be ending, the bullish one for a downtrend.

RuleBearish MSSBullish MSS
BeforeUptrend: HH and HL, each high breaks the last (BOS)Downtrend: LL and LH, each low breaks the last (BOS)
Key levelThe last higher lowThe last lower high
The shiftA candle body closes below the last HLA candle body closes above the last LH
Not a shiftA wick below that closes back aboveA wick above that closes back below
What followsA lower high, then a lower lowA higher low, then a higher high

Market structure

With the trend, against it, and a wick that is neither

  • Break of structure
  • Bearish shift
  • Bullish shift

Uptrend

key level: the last higher low

Downtrend

key level: the last lower high

Break of structure

a close beyond the last high, with the trend

HLHHHLHHBOSBOS
LHLLLHLLBOSBOS

Market structure shift

a body closes through the key level

HLHHLHLLMSS
LHLLHLHHMSS

Wick only

it closes back: not a shift

HLHHWickHH
LHLLWickLL
The gold HL or LH is the key level. A body that closes through it is the shift. A wick through it that closes back is a rejection, and the trend carries on.
Schematic candles, not market data. The downtrend column is the uptrend turned upside down.
Shift to trendthe order it happens in
UPTRENDHLHH and HLMSSclose below last HLFIRST LHLHthe bounce failsFIRST LLLLnew downtrend
The shift is step two of four. Many traders wait for the first lower high and lower low before they treat the old trend as over.

Count the close, not the wick. A wick through the level that closes back is a rejection, often a sign the trend is still working.

Write the shift down as a strategy

In Strategies, write the rule: the timeframe, the key level and what counts as the shift (a body close, not a wick).
Go deeper

Most traders who read structure this way count the close. A wick shows where price went during the candle; the body shows where it was accepted when the candle finished. A wick that closes back is a rejection of those prices.

An MSS tells you the old trend is broken. The new trend is only confirmed when price makes its first lower high and lower low (or higher low and higher high). An MSS on M5 can be a normal pullback on H4.

Strategies is in the Trading Lab. Name the key level as the last higher low or lower high, and link the trades you take on it to that strategy, so you can see how the setup performs on its own.

Chapter 5 of 7

A wick that looked like a shift

Three cases with illustrative prices, not a record of a real day. First, a shift that was not one.

Worked example

Example 01: A failed MSS: the wick goes through, the close comes back

The worked example, with every number walked through, is in the app.

Chapter 6 of 7

One candle, two timeframes

Second, a shift that depends on the chart you are looking at.

Worked example

Example 02: An MSS on M5 that is only a pullback on H4

The worked example, with every number walked through, is in the app.

What happened next

On H4 the last higher low is 1.33800 and the last higher high 1.34900. Price kept falling to 1.34150, a 75 pip pullback that held 35 pips above the H4 higher low, then rallied to 1.35240, a break of structure 34 pips above the old H4 high.

Chapter 7 of 7

A clean shift, swing by swing

Third, a clean shift from start to finish.

Worked example

Example 03: A clean bearish MSS on XAUUSD

The worked example, with every number walked through, is in the app.

Practise it in the backtester

Replay a week of XAUUSD on H1 and mark every HH, HL, LH and LL.
Practise where a mistake costs nothing

Reading structure is a skill you build by repetition. Keep marking swings until you can name the last higher low before the shift prints. In the backtester the playhead hides what comes next, and the horizontal line tool marks the last higher low before the shift prints. Then compare the trades you took right after a shift with the rest.

When you log a trade, give it the same setup tag every time, such as MSS or Pullback: the Trade Log filters by tag, so you can pull up every shift trade you have taken and see how they went.

Quick review

Check yourself

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Quiz

Check yourself: 1 question

Answer each question and see why it is right, in the app.

Try it on your own account

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